Sunday, November 30, 2025
I’ve been backtesting different strategies to hedge spot portfolios during low-volume/choppy market conditions (like we saw this weekend).Usually, the standard hedge is opening a short perp position to capture downside. However, in the current market structure, "liquidation hunting" wicks often stop out these hedges before the actual move happens.I’ve been experimenting with a different derivative concept: Pari-Mutuel Volatility Brackets.The Concept: Instead of betting on Direction (Price goes Up/Down), you bet on Magnitude (Which asset will have the highest % move in a fixed timeframe).Scenario A (Directional Hedge): You are Long ETH. You open a Short ETH perp to hedge. Market wicks up 2%, stops you out, then dumps 5%. Result: You lose on both the hedge and the spot.Scenario B (Volatility Hedge): You are Long ETH. You enter a "Volatility Bracket" picking ETH as the highest mover. Market wicks up 2%, then dumps 5%. Result: ETH wins the volatility bracket because it moved the most (total distance). The payout from the bracket offsets the spot loss.The Mechanism: I’m testing this on a new Arbitrum dApp (CandleWars) that runs 8-hour volatility rounds. It pools liquidity from all entrants and pays out the top 3 assets with the highest absolute percentage change.My Question for the sub: Has anyone modeled the Expected Value (EV) of "Volatility Betting" vs "Straddle Options" in crypto?Pros: No liquidation price, capped risk (entry fee), no theta decay (unlike options).Cons: It's a PVP pool, so payout depends on how many people bet against you.Curious if anyone has experience with this specific type of derivative structure compared to traditional options for hedging chop. via /r/Trading https://ift.tt/l0npgvZ
Saturday, November 29, 2025
Friday, November 28, 2025
Thursday, November 27, 2025
Wednesday, November 26, 2025
I slept maybe an hour of the three hours I was in bed since coming back from the point last night, well this morning. At first it was just pure elation, I mean who wouldn’t be on cloud nine. After years of curiosity, desire, and doubt I finally hooked up with another guy and confirmed that this is indeed who and what I am. And the fact that it was someone I already know and care about, someone I trust fully, one of my oldest and closest friends, Zach. Well that just made it so much better. I laid there licking my lips until every taste of him was gone from them and every time I closed my eyes I would close my eyes I would see him laid back on that rock, his muscular pecs and rock hard abs tensed in pleasure, his shorts around his ankles, his balls hanging tightly between his muscular hairy thighs, his thick eight inch cock in my hand squirting cum everywhere, and that look of pure pleasure in his eyes. Then I started thinking of all the things we can still do this summer and all the places. Then it hit me. We never talked about what happened and what it means. A put forms in my stomach. What if it was just a one time thing for him? What if he regrets it? What if he wants to just play around this summer? What if he wants more? What if he’s in love? Am I in love? Do I want to be his boyfriend? Are we still friends? Can we still be friends? Did we fuck everything up? Wait, what if he wants to fuck me? Would I be able to? I’m not even sure I could take a dick up my ass much less one so big. What if I do it and hate it? What if he hates it? What if he loves it and I hate it? Those played out over and over in my head until pure exhaustion took me down. I’m actually awakened by a text notification. I look and see his name and immediately I’m filled with butterflies. Okay he doesn’t hate me. He’s texting me. Is it a good morning text? Is it a we need to talk text? Is it a good we need to talk text? Is it him admitting he couldn’t stop thinking about me either? The pit returns to my stomach. I’m terrified to open it. I need a shower first. All through the shower my mind is racing which is made worse by the fact that another text comes in, followed by another and another. He’s blowing up my phone and I’m scared to know why. Finally I get out and grab my phone from my nightstand and immediately both relieved and heartbroken. He wasn’t blowing up my phone. It was the group chat. Started with him giving a location and time to meet. Then five or six thumbs up and an additional text from Elizabeth to the group. “Karen is coming in today I’ll let her know.”I sigh. Then open the text chain between me and him just in case I maybe missed a text from him. Nothing there. Maybe he likes his significant others to text first. A lot of guys are like that. I type out a text“Did you get any sleep?” And add a smiley face and hit send. I then go back to the group chat and add my own thumbs up. As I am the notification pops up “From Zach: not really”Then nothing. Not even a little bubble saying he’s typing. Just a two word answer. No conversation, not even a “how about you?” Fuck this can’t be good. My fear is reinforced when I meet up with everyone after lunch. Zach barely makes eye contact with me. There’s definite tension. Not anything anyone can see, he’s too smart for that, but I can feel him being very distant, keeping me at arms length. I can only assume this is regret for last night. Maybe he feels I took advantage of him. I mean he was drinking all night. I don’t think I saw him without a beer in his hand. I was the aggressive one. Shit did I take advantage of him? Someone suggests we go get ice cream then head to the water park and we all start to walk to the ice cream shop. Zach is a little it back from the group. Now’s my chance. I walk up beside him. “Hey you okay?” I ask. “Yeah. I’m fine.” He replies non-chalantly. “Why?”“I don’t know you seem … off.” He smiles. “I’m good really.”“Listen. About last night.”“Yeah it was fun. We should do another bonfire soon.” He says again with very little emotion. “Hey guys. Who wants to do another bonfire this week?” He asks the group jogging to catch up. God I fucked everything up. At the ice cream shop we’re sitting at a picnic table talking. Zach and I keep exchanging glances but not really talking or interacting at all. I’m so sure now my friendship is over. “Yo Zach.” Carlos says tapping Zach’s shoulder and pointing to two hot girls in bikinis. “Lead the way brother. I’m there with you.” Zach says and they get up and walk that way. “Sorry Mikey, there’s only two of them. I’ll see if they got a friend for you.” He says as they walk off. I get it now I think. He’s probably freaked out because a boy sucked him off. It could be he hates me and thinks I took advantage. I just need to give him space either way. If I push it I’ll make it worse. Elizabeth has been very friendly and chatty I’ll just focus on her. The plan is working. Zach, who looks even more ripped today, and Carlos are spending their time at the water park flirting and racing down slides. Elizabeth, Allison, and I are spending most of our day either in the pool or floating down the lazy river. Do we get interrupted sometimes by boys flirting with them? Certainly but they’re both very attractive and, let’s face it, guys don’t see me as a threat when it comes to girls. And they shouldn’t. When two guys invite them to go down a couples slide I take it as my chance to bow out. “It’s okay. I was gonna use the restroom and grab some fries anyway.” I say then go pee and wash my hands. As I reach the exit to the bathroom/showers I run into Zach. “Oh hey. Having fun?” He smiles and pushes me into one of the changing stalls closing the curtain behind us. He takes my face in his hand and presses me to the wall then leans in and shoves his tongue into my mouth. Fuck this boy can kiss. I immediately melt. Then his hand moves from my face down my back and into my shorts grabbi my my bare ass pulling me close. I wrap my arms around him putting my fingers in his hair and wrap a leg around his waist. I fall back against the wall again pulling him to me. Our tongues wrestling for each other in our mouths. I let out a soft moan. He eventually breaks the insanely passionate kiss and presses his forehead to mine. “God I’ve been wanting that all day.” He whispers.“Really?”“Yeah of course. I haven’t been able to stop thinking about you. About last night. That kiss. That amazing blowjob. How sexy you looked when you came in my hand.”I pull his mouth back to mine and kiss him again more intensely. I start to grind myself against him as I begin to get an erection. He pushes off of me and wipes his mouth as we both stand there panting. “Wait wait. Slow down. We gotta… not now. you can’t get hard.” He says. “You’re kinda making that difficult.”I know but please? For me?”“Look if you’re worried about what people will say if they see….” I begin and get interrupted. “No. It’s not that. Who gives a fuck what people might say. It’s just.” He pauses and sighs. “Look. If I’m totally honest, I’m not sure if I’m ready to suck a dick or if I’ll ever be able to, or even if I actually want to. This is all still pretty new. But if I see your dick get hard because of me. I’m not going to be able to control myself and I’ll probably drop to my knees and do it right now.” He pants. “Are you trying to talk me out of it or into it?” I ask and laugh. “Honestly, I don’t know” he replies also laughing and I reach up and wipe my drool from the corner of his mouth. “It’s fine. We can be good I think. Truth is, I really thought you hated me.”“What? Why would you think that?”“You’ve barely talked to me or even looked at me all day.”“That’s because every time I look at you I want to rip your clothes off.” He admits“Now you know how I’ve felt about you for a long time.” I say and he groans.“Let’s talk tonight. After the movies. You and I will go somewhere and figure all of this out. Deal?”“Okay deal.” I say and he starts to straighten himself up to leave. “Wait. We’re going to the movies?”The movie was okay. Kind of boring but it’s the closest I’ve had to a date in a while and I loved it. Zach and I kept finding ways to subtly touch each other. Lean across hand on a thigh, reaching for a cup and touching hands, even locking pinkies under the arm rest. It was cute and kind of romantic in its own way. And now, it’s around 9:00 pm and we’re walking along the beach holding hands. Aside from a few times making excuses to stop for a quick kiss it’s been pretty silent. “Can I ask something pretty stupid?” I say breaking the silence. “Sure ask away.”“Okay. So I know what happened and was said at the water park and the stuff at the movie and the kisses and hand holding out here but I’m still me and me is pretty insecure.”“Is there a question in there?” He asks sarcastically and I elbow him gently. “My question is. Are you really okay with last night? Like did you want that or were you just drunk?”“I had one beer all night.” He says. “No way. Every time I saw you there was a beer in your hand.”“Yeah. Same beer. I don’t really drink anymore. And as for if I wanted it or not. I mean I’m the one who admitted to rigging the spin the bottle games hoping you’d catch on.”“Wait so you planned all of that?”“I mean no not exactly. I hoped for maybe a kiss. To, you know, see if I liked it.”“I see. So can I ask a very blunt question?” I ask and his look tells me I can. “Are you gay or bi or curious or what? Sorry. I should have asked last night.” “There’s nothing to apologize for. That’s a very important question. It’s one you absolutely have every right to ask. I just hate how much my answer is going to suck.” We stop and he looks at me. “I honestly don’t know. Like I said it’s all very new to me. I never imagined doing this with another guy. Well that’s not true. I guess I’ve imagined it but more in an abstract that would be hot kind of way. And mostly when jerking off. But I honestly never expected to have feelings for a guy.”“Wait you have feelings for me?”“Yeah.”“For how long?”“I think pretty much always. I mean I’ve always been attracted to you. That why I spun the bottle on you that time.”“Is that when you knew it was more?” I ask and he shakes his head. “No. That kiss was honestly so short and awkward it made me question more than gave me answers.”“So then when did you know?”“November 13th at 6:47 pm.”“That’s pretty specific. Was there something that triggered it?”“Yep. A text. The most random text but one very profound. You sent me a song you heard and told me about how it reminded you of a very random moment where I did something super goofy and made you laugh.”“That made you realize you had feelings for me?”“Yeah. You showed me how you see me and think of me. How something reminds you of me. No one, not even girls I’ve dated go over a year, ever did that. And I realized I did that with you too. I realized I had an entire playlist for when I missed you. More so I realized how important it was to me that you saw me for me.” I lean up and kiss his lips gently. “What was that for?”“For being sweet.” We start walking again. “So is that why you’ve been keeping this so low key? You don’t want to in essence come out as gay and have it turn out you’re not gay?”“Nah I don’t care about stuff like that. I had so many flaws that I can fix, the fact I like kissing you isn’t on that list. Besides I don’t care what those people think. They’re summer friends.”“I mean kind of. But not really. We are all pretty close.”“Yeah I’m the summer nit the fall or winter”“So am I just a summer friend?” My question makes him stop in his tracks. “You’re literally th only one in this whole group I talk to year round.”“That’s not true. Sometimes the group chat blows up for days.”“Yeah but outside of that it’s crickets with everyone else. And I’m okay with that. I promise. I don’t see them Like Ive always seen you. As a real friend.”“Okay fair. So then why keep it quiet.”“Because. Last year when Elizabeth and I started dating and we were all about our relationship it sucked for you guys. I don’t want to do that again.”“Wait so we’re dating?”“I don’t know. Do you want us to be dating?”“Honestly? I don’t know. Yes but also no. Because I like our friendship and if we break up we might lose that.”“It’s not an if. It’s a when.”“Ouch.”“I don’t mean it like that. You said yourself this is your last summer here.” He says“Yeah but there’s a such thing as long distance. And I can always come to visit. My parents might beMoving here full time.” He sighs. “Com here.” He say and we walk up to the strip. “You’ve never been here past August. You see all these stores? 95% of them close on Labor Day. The pavilion goes to weekends only until after Halloween. Then like everything else they’re closed until Memorial Day. Do you know why?”“All the tourists leave.”“Exactly and on their way out they all make the same promises. I’ll be back every summer. They almost never do. And now you’re one of them.”“This is different.” Do you know how many girls have told me that? Said, I’ll keep in touch and come back next year? Tons. And they make it maybe a month then stop texting or calling. That’s just how life works here. You get used to it. You expect it.” He says almost breaking my heart. I step up and put my hand in his cheek. “That wouldn’t be me. But, let’s be honest, neither of us has done this before, so let’s just keep it as it is. We’re friends who like messing around sometimes.”“But that’s not fair either.”“Why not?”“Because. We don’t both like messing around in the same way. At least I don’t know if we do.” I look at him confused and he explains. “It’s like I said earlier. I don’t know if I could ever get to a point where I could suck your dick and I’m pretty well certain I’d never be able to take it up the ass. So it would be me getting all the goods.”“First of all I’m not sure I could do anal either or that I’d want to. Especially one as big as yours. As for the head. Well I liked doing it so I don’t see the problem.”“But you may never get it back from me. You might but there’s no guarantee. That seems pretty selfish.”“Why did you jerk me off afterwards last night? Was it because you felt you owed it to me?”“No. I wanted to make you cum.”“That’s why I sucked your dick. So we’re all good.”“But….”“Go on.”“I also held back with you.”“What do you mean?”“I’m usually way more aggressive.”“I’m what way?”“Like pulling their heads down and gagging them more or fucking their mouths. With you I let you take the lead.” He admits. “But it was hard.”“Well. That’s what I needed at that time. It’s not what I’m always gonna need. Just don’t hold back and always be honest with me and we will be fine.” He smiles. “I can do that.”“Then we’re good. Now come on. Let’s walk back.” I take his hand and lead him to the beach and back towards our community.“I’m not that big.” Zach says after a few minutes of silence. I laugh. “Tell that to my jaw that’s still sore.” He laughs. “Well I’m no Gargantua.” He says referring to a gay porn star and I stop. “You know Gargantua?”“I may have seen a video of his from time to time.” He smirks. “He has a really nice cock.” I add “Oh fuck yeah. It’s like you just wanna like grab it and..”“Right?”“I bet it tastes so good.” He says “Oh my god yes. Thank you!” I say and we walk hand in hand after a while he says. “Sorry about your jaw. We don’t have to do anything until it’s better.”“Oh baby I’m gonna suck your dick so hard. As soon as we get to a secluded spot.” I reply non-chalantly. He grips my hand tighter and smiles. via /r/gaystories https://ift.tt/Pqpbxt7
Tuesday, November 25, 2025
Monday, November 24, 2025
Sunday, November 23, 2025
Ever wish you had an institutional-grade edge on crypto moves?Our QuantSignal V3 system just flagged Ethereum approaching a key momentum inflection point historically tied to significant price movements. Based on backtested data, similar technical setups preceded average moves of +18% over the following 30 days.The full analysis—including entry levels, projected targets, and stop-loss thresholds—is now available. This isn't just a prediction; it's a data-driven signal derived from volume anomalies, funding rate shifts, and on-chain accumulation patterns.If you've been tracking ETH's consolidation, this could be the clarity you've been waiting for. The detailed breakdown is ready.Tap to see the full setup.🔗 https://discord.gg/quantsignals...🔥 Unlock full content: https://ift.tt/Y0ckK75 via /r/WallStreetBetsTopMost https://ift.tt/MPUw0LG
Saturday, November 22, 2025
Not interested in crypto. The intent of this forum is to have a collective mind for best stock option investments.Please have researched opinions. I know this may not be best financial advice, however I feel that at times this may be better than actual financial advisors. Some of the fees they charge, I may as well use that fee and gamble on here, rather then never seeing that money again.Not looking for a get rich scheme, just possible advise on stock options. Maybe best of of tax returns for rentals. Etc.So I guess, starting off. What do people reckon some of the smarter stock options would be in 2023? via /r/bestinvestments https://ift.tt/HESp9fd
Friday, November 21, 2025
Thursday, November 20, 2025
Wednesday, November 19, 2025
Tuesday, November 18, 2025
Length : 5 minutescamera angle : full body visible (head to toe)Payment Methods : paypal/crypto/throneBudget : $50Blackmail custom video which ends up with real exposure with full consent. I have some chastity cages, i'm into extreme humiliation and raceplay & cuckolding. I don't want you to hold back on humiliating me and making me feel miserable. I really really enjoy that, you shouldn't feel bad for anything you do and just to add on .... mean girls only please <3Can go into full detail with the right creator. Let's get the party started :3 via /r/FetishWantAds https://www.reddit.com/r/FetishWantAds/comments/1p0re3z/buying_blackmail_custom_video_exposure/?utm_source=ifttt
Monday, November 17, 2025
Sunday, November 16, 2025
Saturday, November 15, 2025
Not interested in crypto. The intent of this forum is to have a collective mind for best stock option investments.Please have researched opinions. I know this may not be best financial advice, however I feel that at times this may be better than actual financial advisors. Some of the fees they charge, I may as well use that fee and gamble on here, rather then never seeing that money again.Not looking for a get rich scheme, just possible advise on stock options. Maybe best of of tax returns for rentals. Etc.So I guess, starting off. What do people reckon some of the smarter stock options would be in 2023? via /r/bestinvestments https://ift.tt/8TFXLfQ
Friday, November 14, 2025
Thursday, November 13, 2025
I'll be honest I'm torn if I buy GA or a floor seat. I'll be buying of of Stubhub. What time should I realistically show up to get a decent spot? I know I wouldn't be barricade because it's not VIP. Or is there a section you guys recommend thats not GA?Thank you!! via /r/SabrinaCarpenterFans https://ift.tt/yXJzb0V
Wednesday, November 12, 2025
Tuesday, November 11, 2025
I actually got lured to coinwinspro trading platform where my funds got stuck about $78k with the intent to earn 25percent profit in my investment on each trade only to discover it was just a trick to manipulate me in stealing away my funds. After weeks of being sad I found the best fund recovery team at[CYBERLORGE@PROTON.ME](mailto:CYBERLORGE@PROTON.ME)DISCORD - CYBERLORGEwhom I hired and spoke to their support team about my situation. They requested for some certain information and they swing into actions immediately. To my surprise within some hours they were able to trace and track my stolen funds then instantly recovered each and every penny of my money back to me without hassle or hidden fees. via /r/hackathons https://ift.tt/3XliuEj
Monday, November 10, 2025
BitRefill is a great service that makes it easy for people to purchase gift cards and vouchers for a discount with their crypto.Currently they have a refer a friend programme where they give both the new user and referrer $5 in free Bitcoin once the new user has spent $50 on gift cards and vouchers.BitRefill has been around for a while and they advertise a lot on Reddit. Many users have take advantage of the free Bitcoin bonus. If you have a bit of crypto they are a great service to use.You can deposit your Bitcoin via the lightning network, straight from a Coinbase account, or via the usual Bitcoin core network.Links:Here are the links for BitRefill.My Referral Link $5 bonus - Ensure the code w8zjokmu is entered in the 'I have a referral code' box.non-referral link (no bonus).Proof of $5 rewardRefer-a-Friend ProgramSteps:Here are the steps to follow to get your free $5 in free Bitcoin:Sign up with my referral link / non-ref (no bonus).Purchase a total of $50 in products. This can be spent all in one go or spread across multiple products. ( I purchased a £40 voucher to be sure, this is just over $51).You'll see $5 bonus in BTC added to your wallet immediately after payment.You can withdraw the $5 bonus straight away.Share your referral code for more free satoshis.If you a bit of crypto and haven't tried BitRefill yet now is the time. You can always sign-up and just use it to purchase a gift card when you need. The ability to deposit via lightening is also a great feature. via /r/freebitcoin https://ift.tt/8KgnfjY
Sunday, November 9, 2025
Saturday, November 8, 2025
Friday, November 7, 2025
Most of us agree or think that Ryoshu's Canto is going to be around Burn so here's some quick predictions of mine about which sinner's getting new İD's and what not for burn. İshmeal is definetly getting one due to her current burn İD (Liu Assoc) beganning to show it's age in the current/latest cantos and what not. İ am also aplying the same logic to Rodya and Yisang but beacuse Don, Faust and Gregor got good burn İD's last season it's highly unlikely for them to get any and Meursault just got a burn İD this Season. Sinclair got TWO burn İD's this season so i am perfectly sure that he's not going to be getting any. Ryoshu's prob gonna be the team leader for finger İD's that will probably release in her Canto (they call her the palm) alongside maybe Capo Sault. Outis also MİGHT get a new burn İD due to her only burn İD being a Walpurgisnacht İD but i am unsure of it due to nearly everybody being able to just get her from a friend and dark flame being just TOO good. Heathcliff's getting a burn İD or a big brother İD. İshmeal MİGHT get Efloresced E.G.O Gasharpoon İD if Ahab were to show up. And for the Walpurgisnacht it's going to be Faust and Meursault whom will both get the Bird E.G.O Gear İD's (Meursault get's Judgement and Faust get's Big Bird) via /r/fishmaell https://ift.tt/QgfJmdl
Thursday, November 6, 2025
Hi everyone! I usually use Quantfury for my leveraged stock trades, but I use BingX for my leveraged crypto trades. I needed to unify everything, so I built this app that lets me keep and monitor all my trades on a single platform.I’d like to open it to the public and get some feedback, and of course, if you like it, feel free to use it. It’s 100% free. I’m still optimizing it, so you might run into some bugs.It has some interesting features, such as logging withdrawals (we should always withdraw some trading profits to enjoy life, otherwise we burn ourselves out), filtering your history based on the asset you traded, and I even added an AI chat that helps you understand your past decisions so you can make better ones in the future.Here’s the link: https://ift.tt/cUBjeVg advice is welcome!! Thanks via /r/Trading https://ift.tt/EFSRcMU
Wednesday, November 5, 2025
Tuesday, November 4, 2025
Monday, November 3, 2025
BREAKING: 📈 $FLR ETF Filing Sparks Interest.Teucrium's filing signals growing institutional adoption for Flare Network and its XRP-based FXRP token.Teucrium Trading LLC filed for a Flare Network ($FLR) ETF, coinciding with the rise of XRP-based FXRP minting, which has topped $120M. FXRP enables holders to access DeFi lending and yield strategies. This move reflects increased institutional interest and a boost to Flare's DeFi ecosystem, where TVL has jumped 38%. Despite growth, $FLR has fallen nearly 38% in the last month. #FlareNetwork #DeFi #XRP #Crypto via /r/FlareNetworks https://ift.tt/BNxpl2o
Sunday, November 2, 2025
Saturday, November 1, 2025
Not interested in crypto. The intent of this forum is to have a collective mind for best stock option investments.Please have researched opinions. I know this may not be best financial advice, however I feel that at times this may be better than actual financial advisors. Some of the fees they charge, I may as well use that fee and gamble on here, rather then never seeing that money again.Not looking for a get rich scheme, just possible advise on stock options. Maybe best of of tax returns for rentals. Etc.So I guess, starting off. What do people reckon some of the smarter stock options would be in 2023? via /r/bestinvestments https://ift.tt/tBECWAa